Pakistan’s World Cup semi-final qualification scenario after win over New Zealand

Pakistan beat New Zealand by 21 runs (DLS method) in the 35th match of the ICC World Cup 2023 at the M.Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru, India, on Saturday and are still alive in the race to the semi-final of the mega event.

Despite a win, Pakistan’s path to the World Cup semi-final still remains difficult as they don’t have things in their own hands but are still dependent on the results of New Zealand and Afghanistan.

As much as Pakistan need to beat England on November 11 in Kolkata and pray that Sri Lanka do their job against the Black Caps in Bengaluru on November 9, the Men in Green need Afghanistan to lose one of their remaining two matches — against Australia and South Africa — or both (preferably) because the Afghans have same points (8) as Babar Azam’s men despite playing one less match.

In an ideal scenario, the following results will help Pakistan if they want to qualify for the semi-final

Match 36: England vs Australia — Australia win

Match 37: India vs South Africa — India win

Match 38: Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh — Sri Lanka win

Match 39: Australia vs Afghanistan — Australia win

Match 40: England vs Netherlands — England win

Match 41: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka — Sri Lanka win

Match 42: South Africa vs Afghanistan — South Africa win

Match 43: Bangladesh vs Australia — Australia win

Match 44: Pakistan vs England — Pakistan win

Match 45: India vs Netherlands — India win

If all the results go according to the above-mentioned scenario, India will finish first with 18 points, they would be followed by South Africa with 14 points. Australia will finish third with the same points as the Proteas while Pakistan, with 10 points, will finish fourth and qualify for the knockout stage of the World Cup.

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